• FOREX Day Trading – The Dangers of Curve Fitting

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    March 31, 2021 /  Forex and Trading

    In Forex day trading you see many systems that have fantastic track records in back testing, yet they can never match this performance in real time and the trader wipes out his equity.

    The reason for this is the concept of curve fitting – if you don’t understand its significance you will lose.

    Many traders buy hypothetical track records, or devise their own by running their signals over past data and any track record in day trading is curve fitted.

    Why?

    Day trading by its very nature doesn’t work.

    You never get a real time track record of profits, so any track record has to be curve fitted to make a profit.

    So what is curve fitting?

    It means fitting the trading signals to the data ( you can of course do this on past data as you know the closing prices ) and making sure that the track record is profitable.

    It’s very similar to shooting at a barn door and then drawing a cirlce around each one, after the shots are fired to amek them all bulls eyes.

    Of course bending the system to fit the data doesn’t work and profitability is simply an illusion.

    Examples of curve fitted systems are

    Ones with lots of rules and parameters, or unique rules and parameters for different trading conditions, or contracts.

    If you curve fit a system, be it in day trading or long term trend following, it will lose.

    No reliable data

    Day traders have to curve fit in hindsight to make a profit, as in real time volatility is random and its impossible to predict price direction.

    To make money in any form of trading you need to play the odds and you can’t do that in day trading.

    When you buy one of those enticing day trading systems offering you 100% profits or 70% success rates ask for the real time track record and you won’t get one.

    The one presented to you is hypothetical and done knowing the closing prices and has been curve fitted.

    Try and trade any day trading system from a vendor in real time and you can kiss goodbye to your account equity. Don’t fall for the hype of day trading systems see the reality, which is a sure fire way to lose all your money quickly.

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  • Bad credit loans for people on benefits- A golden opportunity for disabled people

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    March 31, 2021 /  Loans and Debt

    If you are on benefits, then you will be the right person to explain how it goes when you are denied loans from any lender. As most of the lending institutions are finicky about credit score of any loan applicant and if they find a person with poor credit score, they will be simply denied loans not only on the grounds of the person on benefits but also with a poor credit score. This is the worst situation when a person will go through who is already on benefits, has been denied loans owing to his bad credit score. As there is a sunrise after every sunset, in the same way one should not loose hope. There are some lenders who really consider the conditions of the person running on benefits and provide loans without checking his or her credit history. These loans are known as bad credit loans for people on benefits which are helpful in meeting the urgent and daily expenses.

    The other bad factors are not taken into account like foreclosures, missed payments, IVA (Individual Voluntary Arrangement), County Court Judgment (CCJ), defaults, etc when the are sanctioned to the loan applicants who are on benefits with a bad credit history. Fair Issac Corporation determines the credit score of a borrower ranging form 300 to 800 points and anyone below 600 points will be declared as bad creditor. If the person is also running on benefits, he would qualify for bad credit loans for people on benefits. The loan amount would range between 1000 and 75000 and it entirely depends upon efficiency of a person to repay the loans or the value of property he has declared as a mortgage to obtain loans. Repayment period has been designed on flexible terms ranging from 1 to 25 years.

    There are two different categories of bad credit loans for people on benefits which are unsecured bad credit loans for people on benefits and secured bad credit loans for people on benefits. Unsecured bad credit loans for people on benefits are appropriate for the tenants and non property holders who cannot pledge a property to obtain a loan and secured bad credit loans for people on benefits are ideal for the bad credit people on benefits who are capable of mortgaging their property in the exchange of loan amount. The rate of interest is little bit higher for unsecured bad credit loans for people on benefits whereas a moderate rate of interest is associated with secured bad credit loans for people on benefits.

    It is very necessary to look for right kind of lender who would offer with bad credit scores on the internet and online assistance is also there for applying during anytime of the day and as a result approval for the loans also become faster.

  • Get Out From Your Debt and Still Hold Your Assets

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    March 31, 2021 /  Loans and Debt

    For a relatively small debt, living on a budget will be enough for you to cut down your debts and still keep your assets. Otherwise if you owe a lot, living on a budget is merely the first step in the get-out-of-debt process. You will also need to do some or all of the following actions:

    Negotiate with your creditors.
    Make a list of all your debts and the relevant information pertaining to each one. You should also analyze your budget to figure out how much you can afford to pay on your debts every month, starting with the ones that are the most important.
    Ask your creditors to help you keep up with your debts by lowering your monthly payments on a temporary or permanent basis, reducing the interest rate on your debts, or letting you make interest-only payments for a limited period of time.
    Never allow a creditor to pressure you into agreeing to pay more than you can afford. Whenever you talk with a creditor, explain clearly why youre calling and exactly what youre asking for. If the first person rejects your request, politely end the conversation and ask to speak with a manager or supervisor.

    Consolidate Your Debt
    Consolidating debt is a process when you get new debt to pay off existing debt. We know that going into debt to get out of debt may not sound reasonable, but if you did it right, it can be a smart debt-management strategy. To do it right, make sure that these following condition must be met when you consolidate:
    The interest rate on the new debt is lower than the rates on the debts you pay off.
    The monthly payment on the new debt is lower than the combined monthly total for all the debts you consolidate. The new debt you choose must be has a fixed interest rate.
    You commit to not using credit again until the new debt is paid off.

    Consult to credit counseling agency.
    The advice and assistance of a credit counseling agency can be a great solution when you have a lot of debt and try to take control over it.
    Credit counseling agency can especially help when you are still figuring what to do or not too confidence that you are able to improve your finances on your own. A credit counseling agency can
    Help you to set a household budget.
    Evaluate a budget you have already created previously, and suggesting changes that will help you get out of debt faster and avoid loss of assets.
    Negotiate lower payments with your creditors and set up a debt-management plan for you
    Develop your money-management skills.
    Not all credit counseling agencies are reliable, so take time to choose a reputable one. First and foremost, that means working with a nonprofit, tax-exempt agency that charges you little or nothing for its services.

  • Insant Bank Of America Modification 7 Days Or Less

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    March 31, 2021 /  Financial Plan

    If you are trying to get a Bank of America Modification, this is the best program out there. Whether you have tried to contact your lender on your own or just want the best rate reduction possible, you have to read this.

    Traditionally, modifications with B of A have been tough. Trying to get in touch with your lender yourself and getting it to go through was very hard for homeowners to accomplish. Now, you don’t have to worry about all that. You can find out if you are approved, what you new interest rate will be and what your new payment will be almost instantly. Plus, the loan modification can be completed in 7 days or less! This is so much faster than a traditional loan modification that can take two to three months to complete.

    The benefits of this program are pretty clear:

    1. You get to find out if you are approved within hours or days

    2. You get to find out exactly what your new payment will be

    3. You can now decide if pursuing a loan modification with Bank of America is benefitial to your situation or if you have to pursue another option.

    4. You do not have to wait 2-3 months to find out if you are even approved or to complete the whole loan modification

    5. There are no upfront fees with this program!

    6. Get your new loan docs signed within a week or less

    7. In many cases, your first payment can be pushed back a month or more to further ease your financial burdens!

    This program is only offered by a few select companies. To get more information and to see if you qualify for this program, just click the links below and call the phone number or fill out the form. It could not be any easier to get a Bank of America modification! Don’t wait, this program may not last long…

  • Life Insurance In India – Who Needs It

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    March 30, 2021 /  Tax and Insurance

    Why Do You need Life Insurance Policy ?
    When needs it?
    Life Insurance policy provides either a lump sum or an income on the untimely death of an individual. Therefore, anyone who’s death would make a financial loss to another has a need for life insurance policy. This should contain the followings: –
    1.Mortgage Life Insurance Cover
    2.Anyone with dependents
    3.Key Individuals.
    In essence any situation where monetary loss would be incurred could possibly have a need for life insurance policy.
    60,000 people in the India have died in 2008* *source: Terrorist Attack

    Types of Cover:

    Term Life Insurance
    Term life insurance as the name suggests pays a death benefit only during a specified term of coverage which usually ranges between 10 and 30 years. Term life is the cheapest and most financially efficient form of life insurance for most young and middle-aged people the premiums on term policies are relevantly low since the likelihood that they will die during the term of the policy is small.
    Furthermore term insurance is appropriate for most people because they can select a term that will cover them during their time of the greatest financial need.

    Whole Life Insurance
    Contrasting term insurance, a whole of life policy pays a death benefit no matter when you die. Of course, you usually have to pay premiums for a lifetime as well. For most people, whole life insurance provides coverage that’s actually unnecessary. If you die at age 85, will your widowed spouse or children really need an extra 200,000 to keep going? Insurance salespeople often try to convince customers to buy whole life insurance because of its investment component. A portion of your premiums go into an investment fund which grows at a varying rate, depending on the performance of the stock market. This produces a couple of supposed benefits. One thing, the premiums you pay may be reduced in the future if the investment fund performs well.

    Which one?
    There are good arguments for both type of policy. We would suggest that the following could make up the main considerations: –
    Cost – Whole Life insurance ,is more expensive type of product.
    Period that cover is required – If cover is required for a specific period i.e. a Mortgage then Term life insurance policy could be more appropriate
    Future Plans – If, for instance a family is planned, then whole of life can offer the flexibility to increase cover for this or other like events.

    Conclusion:
    Life insurance is needs everyone. At Policy Bazaar you can compare and buy life insurance policy according to your requirement. If any help require regarding to insurance you can call to call center to available such special offers at 0124 457 67 77 and also see website:

  • Commercial Mortgage Modification

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    March 29, 2021 /  Financial Plan

    In todays crumbling, commercial real estate market, both borrowers and lenders find themselves in quite a precarious predicament. Borrowers struggle to make their commercial mortgage payments, while lenders are crippled by the increasing number of defaults on commercial property. Right now the best solution to this problem is commercial mortgage modification.

    Commercial mortgage modification is the process of renegotiating the terms of a commercial loan. This is done typically by reducing the interest rate or monthly payment on the loan. Other benefits to the borrower may include an extension of the loan term, a forbearance or moratorium on payments, and of course an alternative to foreclosure.

    A commercial mortgage modification is about risk to the lender. A lender will only consider a modification if a borrower is in default or at risk of defaulting. The most important thing the lender will look at in determining whether or not to modify a commercial note is cash flow. One very important calculation used in determining cash flow is called the DCR or Debt Coverage Ratio. This ratio is used by the underwriters to determine if a modification can be approved. If a property is breaking even, meaning the income generated is equal to the operating expenses, the DCR would be equal to 1. If commercial property has a positive cash flow, meaning the income the property generates is more than sufficient to cover the mortgage payment and all of the operating expenses, the DCR is greater than 1. If the property is losing money, the DCR would be less than 1. A lender will most likely not modify the commercial note, if the property already has a DCR greater than 1. Commercial lenders writing new commercial loans will most likely require a DCR of 1.25 or greater.

    The most common form of payment reduction seen in a commercial mortgage modification is when the lender converts a principal and interest payment to an interest only payment. A lender may consider this form of commercial loan modification to help the borrower improve their cash flow. By only paying the interest on the loan, as opposed to principal and interest, the payment becomes more affordable for the borrower.

    However, in extreme circumstances, reducing the mortgage payment to interest only is just not enough for a commercial property owner. If a lender sees that the borrower will still have negative cash flow even after reducing the payment to interest only, they may consider a reduction in the interest rate. Although the interest rate reduction may be temporary, it will help the borrower free up capital and maintain the mortgage payment on time. Although uncommon, lenders have lowered interest rates to as low as 1% even, to avoid an even more costly foreclosure.

  • Sweepstakes Scams Are a Form of Financial Elder Abuse

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    March 29, 2021 /  Financial Plan

    Sweepstakes scams continue to rack up victims, despite warnings to the public. Often, senior citizens are the target of these types of scams. Thus, sweepstakes scams are a form of financial elder abuse. In a typical sweepstakes scam, a fraudster contacts an elderly victim and informs them that they have won lottery. The catch is that the elderly victim is then told that they must send in money in order to collect the sweepstakes prize. California financial elder abuse attorneys warn senior citizens not to fall victim to sweepstakes scams.

    Recently, the Federal Trade Commission announced that it is putting an end to one large sweepstakes scam based in Ventura County. The defendant in the case owned three companies that allegedly mailed out more than 3.7 million letters to people in more than 156 countries. In this case, instead of asking for large sums of money from senior citizen victims, they asked for smaller sums of money. California financial elder abuse attorneys warn the public not to fall for sweepstakes scams no matter how much money the fraudsters ask for.

    In this case, the senior citizen victims received personalized letters with official looking seals, stamps and bar codes. The seniors were told that they had won millions of dollars and could get the money by first sending in a small fee of $20-$30 within a limited period of time. According to the Federal Trade Commission, the scam has brought in more than $11 million dollars, mostly from senior citizens. California financial elder abuse attorneys say that senior citizens are often targeted for these kinds of mailings.

    One of the letters that was mailed out as a part of this scam states that the victim has been chosen from a pool of 250,637 names. There is fine print on the back of the letter that states that consumers will actually only receive lists of sweepstakes they can enter instead of a cash prize. According to the Federal Trade Commission, the fine print does not clear the company of wrong doing because the claims are misleading and victims do not get what they are promised. Frequently, people do not see the fine print and send in the $20-$30 fee.

    Sweepstakes scams such as this are widespread and one of the top five scams targeting consumers, according to the Federal Trade Commission. The fact that sweepstakes scams successfully target senior citizens makes them another form of financial elder abuse.

    Evans Law Firm, Inc. handles elder abuse cases in California. If you think that you have witnessed or are the victim of elder abuse then, contact Evans Law Firm, Inc. at 41

  • Tips for Investing in the Emerging Market

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    March 29, 2021 /  Market and Franchise

    It is fair to assume that seasoned investors know about the emerging market. They know that the potential for great returns is there, and they also know that this great return usually comes at a high risk. The emerging market describes the economies of developing countries, such as China, Russia, and Brazil. It also includes other countries in Asia and South America, together with countries in Africa.

    Given the high risk status, these tips have been written with a view to help you invest wisely into the emerging market.

    The Long Term: An investment into the emerging market should be made with at least one eye on the future. If you are looking for a quick return from your investment then many financial advisors will advise against the emerging market.
    If you were investing in America in 1920s, over 40 years you would have gained a substantial return. You would also have seen prices hitting the floor. This scenario has been likened to the emerging market. Yes, you should make a good return but it may take a while before it is realised.

    Ask questions, receive answers: Advice is essential for any kind of investment, and it is especially prudent for the emerging market given the high risk nature. Many investors ask questions of banks, financial advisers and other institutions which seems like a good idea on the surface. Though knowledgeable, there is a tendency to make all the decisions on your behalf even though you are more than capable of doing so. This, as you have probably guessed is all done for a fee which you pay for.

    There are some financial companies however, which are just as knowledgeable in fields such as the emerging market, but let the commonsense decisions be made by your commonsense. Most peoples commonsense charges 0% commission. When you look for advice, try and find a company that is both knowledgeable about the emerging market and is happy to only step in when needed.

    Return vs Risk: The emerging market is an area of high risk for investors, but the allure is obviously high return. To make an emerging market investment more viable and to offset the risk, a financial portfolio should be comprised of investments in many areas, and not just one. This helps to offset risk of investing as if one area fails the other areas take the hit and hopefully perform better.

    To offset the risk further finding a good fund manager is essential. This often becomes a question of faith especially in the emerging market. As mentioned previously, the better fund managers have enough faith in their ability not to make as much commission as possible through trumping an investors common sense.

    Areas which are tipped for emerging market investment are currently China, Russia, and Brazil. Speak to your fund manager however, as they have a better ear to the ground and subsequently will be able to offer better advice.

  • The Best Advice on I’ve found

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    March 29, 2021 /  Financial

    How to Choose a Mortgage Broker

    A mortgage broker brings mortgage lenders and clients together. Although they’re involved in this task, brokers do not work for lending companies and thus, don’t avail home loans themselves. A broker aids in many ways such as evaluating your credit score and assessing your income and more vital financial characteristics. By doing so, a broker can help tell what types of loans work best for you. Moreover, the broker you choose can apply the credit for you. This implies you must be careful in choosing a mortgage broker. With Bournemouth having so many mortgage brokers, which method do you use to select the best. Use this article so you can find the best mortgage broker bournemouth.

    Can I talk to a current or past customer? While you actually might not be fascinated by hearing any compliment, it’s worth asking this question to hear what this broker will say. If the broker falters or you sense that they are uncomfortable, progress cautiously. But if a broker willingly avails the email, name, or number, it’s likely that their customers are happy.

    Which loaners does the broker work for? When seeking a mortgage broker, you should know that one may be working with specific lenders. On the other hand, some work with plenty of lenders. Still, some lending companies don’t employ brokers but have internal loan officers. You should have a prospective mortgage broker reply to this question so you can determine how vast his/her pool is. A broker with many lenders is more suitable as they rate many lenders hence issuing you with the best deals. Nevertheless, a broker who’s a limited pool of lenders may attempt to convince customers to consider incongruous products.

    What are my chances for qualifying for a credit? Before you start purchasing a home, you wish to be sure that your monetary wellness is okay. If there are problems with your employment, earnings, or credit score, your broker must know it. If a broker claims that you’ll have no problems getting a decent mortgage rate, reflect twice before hiring. You must work with an individual who’s honest. This means if your income isn’t in order, the broker you select should set sensible expectations of if or not you’ll meet the criteria for a loan.

    How do you get revenue? It is probable for the brokers you contact to have a different set of ways of making a living. You should ask how a broker is paid to see if they have prejudice towards a particular lender. For instance, if a broker gets paid for every deal he/she strikes, don’t consider him/her. You could be recommended to a certain lender although they might have deals that don’t fit you.

  • Top accountants squabble over tax avoidance morality

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    March 27, 2021 /  Tax and Insurance

    When David Cameron described comedian Jimmy Carrs use of the K2 artificial tax scheme as “morally wrong”, little did he know that he was kicking off a debate which is now going direct to the heart of the accountancy profession. Much of this has centred on comments made by the Chief Executive of the Institute of Chartered Accountants in England and Wales, Michael Izza, both on his blog and in an interview with the Financial Times.

    The core issue revolves around the traditional notion that tax avoidance is legal while tax evasion most certainly is not. Mr Izza feels that this no longer washes with the general public who are increasingly focusing on the morality rather than the legality of tax avoidance devices. He wants his colleagues in the accountancy profession , particularly those who aggressively promote extreme tax-avoidance schemes like K2, to start looking at themselves in the mirror and asking themselves whether individual measures pass what he calls the “smell test”.

    The fact is that most people take advantage of tax avoidance at some point in their lives. Every time anyone contributes into a pension scheme, they are effectively reducing their Income Tax liability. The same can be said of people who invest money in tax free ISAs or employ their wives as “secretaries” when they never actually perform the role.

    Mr Izzas basic contention is that accountants and their clients effectively cross the line when they use artificial, clearly contrived tax avoidance schemes such as K2. However, many of his members do not share his somewhat sanctimonious views arguing that a good accountant will present his client with all the available options for legally reducing his tax liability and will then let the client make the final decision on which route to take. Anything less and the accountant might well be accused of professional negligence.

    Another ICAEW member, Jason Selig, has an even more forthright opinion – “How is this a moral question?- there is no “right” or “wrong” about paying tax ” he insists.

    Of course, many experienced clients of accountancy firms will most likely view all this hair tearing by the profession with complete indifference in the full knowledge that there have always been those accountants who effectively work for the Revenue and those who work for their clients. The former like to play things exactly by the book avoiding anything that can remotely be described as “edgy”. They think that having a reputation like this results in all their clients tax returns being waved through without query. The latter group whom one might describe as specialist tax accountants are used to playing the game with the Revenue and have all the answers ready should anything be questioned.

    It seems that in the world of accountancy and tax, as in most other fields, you pay your money and you take your choice.